: , : Econbrowser Analysis of current economic conditions and policy Peak oil and price incentives Main Options for Europe June 13, 2012 Contractionary Fiscal Contraction , Quantified : European Edition From Deutsche Bank , Fighting the Clock , Fixed Income May 2012 not online some estimates of changes in structural balances , multipliers , and output : impacts Note : a negative sign under change in structural balance” indicates an increase in the . surplus Note that these are multipliers for composites of transfers , taxes , and spending on goods and services . Multipliers for pure spending on goods and services government consumption would be larger . Just an observation these are not guesses from ivory-tower bound academics , but from business sector economists . A recent IMF working